Finding MH370 (An update)

06/09/2014 — 4 Comments

MH370 underwater search area map (Image source- Australian Govt)

Just saw a sound bite of our Prime Minister reiterating that we’ll spare no expense to find MH370. Throwing money is one thing, but I’m kind of hoping that the ATSB will pull it’s finger out of it’s bureaucratic ass and actually apply the best search methods to the search. Unkind? Perhaps, but then maybe the families of the lost deserve the best that we can do…

4 responses to Finding MH370 (An update)

  1. 

    I cant reconcile your MH370 posts against your mantra: ‘Again and again and again — what are the facts’. Indeed. But….what are the proven facts that MH 370 is even in the Indian Ocean?

    • 
      Matthew Squair 08/09/2014 at 8:19 pm

      The only hard facts we have are the INMARSAT pings which put it somewhere in the Indian Ocean.

  2. 

    Somewhere ‘over’ the Indian Ocean…..

    • 
      Matthew Squair 09/09/2014 at 2:57 pm

      Navy prejudice there, ships are always ‘in’, aircraft occasionally so. 🙂

      The true way to select between competing theories (however outrageous they might be considered to be by individuals) would be to set up a prediction market, and let the invisible hand of market forces establish which had the greatest likelihood. See a later post for a discussion in the context of searching ‘in’ the Indian ocean, but there’s no reason why you couldn’t make it a broader set of possibilities.

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