Archives For Collingridge

Singularity (Image source: Tecnoscience)

Or ‘On the breakdown of Bayesian techniques in the presence of knowledge singularities’

One of the abiding problems of safety critical ‘first of’ systems is that you face, as David Collingridge observed, a double bind dilemma:

  1. Initially an information problem because ‘real’ safety issues (hazards) and their risk cannot be easily identified or quantified until the system is deployed, but 
  2. By the time the system is deployed you now face a power (inertia) problem, that is control or change is difficult once the system is deployed or delivered. Eliminating a hazard is usually very difficult and we can only mitigate them in some fashion. Continue Reading…