Archives For Complexity

So far as we know flight AF 447 fell out of the sky with its systems performing as their designers had specified, if not how they expected, right up-to the point that it impacted the surface of the ocean.

So how is it possible that incorrect air data could simultaneously cause upsets in aircraft functions as disparate as engine thrust management, flight law protection and traffic avoidance?

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The use of median value voting algorithms as part of fault tolerant design has become an almost ubiquitous design solution, especially for avionics systems. But have we really considered their suitability?

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Pitot sensor (Source: BEA)

The theory of Highly Optimised Tolerance (HOT) predicts that as technological systems evolve to become more robust to common perturbations they still remain vulnerable to rare events (Carlson, Doyle 2002) and this theory may give us an insight into the performance of modern integrated air data systems in the face of in-flight icing incidents. 

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In one’s professional life there are certain critical works that open your eyes to how lucidly a technical argument can be stated. Continue Reading…

Reading the ATSB interim report on the QF72 in flight accident one could easily overlook the statement, “…the crew reported that the (ECAM (1)) messages were constantly scrolling, and they could not effectively interact with the ECAM to action and/or clear the messages.”. So why did the A330 ECAM display fail during such a critical event?

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If the theory of Highly Optimised Tolerance (HOT) theory holds true then we should be able to see a change in the distribution of the severity of adverse events as the design paradigm for a family of systems moves from the, ‘just make it work’ stage to the ‘optimise for robustness’ stage. This is something we can actually test through observation of real world systems.

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The effect of poorly considered originating requirements (the recommendations of the Waterfall accident commisioner) upon system safety requirements for a passenger emergency door release function.

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