Archives For Hindsight bias

Hindsight and AF447

23/06/2011

AF A330-200 F-GZCP (Image Source: P. Kierzkowski)

Knowing the outcome of an accident flight does not ‘explain’ the accident

Hindsight bias and it’s mutually reinforcing cognitive cousin the just world hypothesis are traditional parts of public comment on a major air accident investigation when pilot error is revealed as a causal factor. The public comment in various forum after the release of the BEA’s precis on AF447 is no exception.

This post is part of the Airbus aircraft family and system safety thread.

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