Archives For victorian bushfires

So ten years on from the Black Saturday fire we’re taking a national moment to remember the unstinting heroism displayed in the face of the hell that was Black Saturday day and all that was lost. Of course we’re not quite so diligent in remembering that we haven’t prevented people rebuilding in high risk areas, nor in improving the fire resistance of people’s homes, nor yet in managing down the risk through realistic burn off programs, nor for that matter have we noticed that the fuel burden in 2018 is back up to the same levels as it was ten years ago. So perhaps instead we should reflect on how we’ve squandered the opportunity for reform. And perhaps we should remember that a fire will come again, to burn our not so clever country .

Disappointingly the Black Saturday royal commission report makes no mention of the effect of cognitive biases upon making a ‘stay or go’ decision, instead assuming that such decisions are made in a completely rationa fashion. As Black Saturday and other disasters show this is rarely the case.

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